Methodology

This page explains how the Smart Cohort Radar (Lite) is computed and why each column appears on the table.

What is shown on Lite?

Lite is a once-per-day snapshot of on-chain momentum across supported chains. It’s intentionally delayed to differentiate it from Pro. The snapshot is timestamped as as of the chosen UTC date.

  • Delay: default 1 day (configurable), i.e., today − delay_days. If that date doesn’t exist in the cache, the latest available date is used.
  • Ranking: tokens are sorted by Momentum (desc) then Radar (desc).

These rules mirror the Lite emitter script used to produce the cache read by the front page.

Column definitions

  • Smart Share — Fraction of sampled “smart cohort” addresses with a non-zero balance of the token on a given chain (0–1, shown as %).
  • Δ d/d — Day-over-day change in Smart Share for the same symbol+chain (today vs. previous UTC day).
  • Sample — Number of addresses sampled for the token on that chain on the snapshot date.
  • Momentum — Percentile rank of the token’s Δ d/d relative to all tokens in the snapshot (0–100). Higher = stronger day’s change.
  • Radar — Composite score combining level and confidence: round(100 × [0.7 × level_percentile + 0.3 × confidence]), where level_percentile is the percentile of Smart Share and confidence = min(1, Sample / 60).
  • Tier — Category derived from Smart Share and Δ thresholds (see below). If Sample < 60, tier is LOW_SAMPLE.
  • Address — Contract / token address passed through from the source data for convenience.

Tiering logic

TierRule
HOTSmart Share ≥ 0.35 and Δ d/d ≥ 0.10
WARMSmart Share ≥ 0.25 and Δ d/d ≥ 0.05
RADARΔ d/d ≥ 0.02 or Smart Share ≥ 0.15
QUIETOtherwise
LOW_SAMPLESample < 60 (confidence is capped by sample size)

Numbers above are current defaults; they may be tuned as coverage evolves.

Notes & limitations

  • “Smart cohort” represents a curated set of wallets chosen for signal quality; Lite does not expose cohort composition.
  • Percentiles are computed within the snapshot day so rankings reflect that day’s cross-section, not a global history.
  • Lite excludes some real-time corrections used by Pro (e.g., stricter outlier clipping and alerting); that’s by design.
  • Scores are not investment advice. Use them to triage attention, not as standalone trading signals.